NBA 2022 East Finals, Game 1: Heat vs Celtics prediction and betting tips (May 17)
The number 1 seed the Miami Heat, are up against the second seed the Boston Celtics in the battle to book a place in the 2022 NBA finals. The Celtics will be heading to the FTX Arena for game 1.
Jayson Tatum (right) is the Celtics' best player in the playoffs
Jayson Tatum (right) is the Celtics' best player in the playoffs

The Miami Heat are playing the Boston Celtics for the second time in three years in the Eastern Conference finals. This time, the Miami Heat have the home-court advantage as they look to put their last season's playoff woes behind them while the Boston Celtics are keen to continue their impressive display in the playoffs.

The match starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, 17 May 2022. The game time by GMT is 12:30 p.m. on Wednesday, May 18. The match venue is FTX Arena, Miami, FL.

Betting tips and match predictions for the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics (May 17) game are available in this article. The latest betting odds, key stats, team news, and projected starting lineups are previewed below.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics latest odds on betting sites

The Miami Heat money line odds are priced at 1.80 (-125 American; 4/5 Fractional), while the Philadelphia 76ers money line odds are priced at 2.05 (+105; 21/20). This equals approximate probabilities of 55% against 45% respectively.


  • Over 204 points — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Under 204 points — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)


  • Miami Heat -1.5: 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Philadelphia 76ers -1.5: 1.91 (-110; 10/11)

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics match preview and statistics

The Heat so far in their postseason run have played the Atlanta Hawks in round one and the 76ers in the conference semifinals to make their second conference finals appearance in 3 years. They cruised past the 76ers in a 4-2 win and Jimmy Butler was the Heat’s best player, he averaged 27.5 points in the six games played. In game 6, he led the team with a game-high 32 points and added 8 rebounds and 2 blocks.

Max Strus followed with 20 points, 11 rebounds, and a double-double while P.J Tucker dropped 12 points and 9 boards.

Bam Adebayo added 10 points, 8 boards and 2 steals while Tyler Herro from the bench dropped 10 points as well.

Team statistics: 42/87 (48.3%) field goals, 7/28 (25.0%) 3 pointers, 8/11 (72.7%) free throws, 19 assists, 49 total rebounds, 6 blocks, 7 steals, 12 turnovers, 12 fouls.

Miami Heat team news: Kyle Lowry is on a day to day evaluation and is listed probable for the game.

The Celtics have proven to be the giant slayer in this postseason, they swept the Brooklyn Nets in round one and handed the reigning champions the Milwaukee Bucks a second-round exit. One thing that stands out with the Celtics this season is their incredible defense. Ime Udoka has done quite a job with the Celtics team and they might as well be on their way to winning a championship for the first time in 14 years.

Grant Williams was the hero in game 7 against the Bucks, he dropped a game-high 27 points shooting 7 of 18 from the 3-point line and added 2 blocks.

Jason Tatum, who’s the Celtics' best player in the series followed by 23 points, 6 boards and 8 assists.

Jaylen Brown dropped 19 points and 2 steals while Payton Pritchard from the bench scored 14 points.

Team statistics: 37/88 (42.0%) field goals, 22/55 (40.0%) 3 pointers, 13/18 (72.2%) free throws, 29 assists, 48 total rebounds, 5 steals, 7 blocks, 12 turnovers, 19 fouls.

Boston Celtics team news: Sam Hauser is ruled out for the match.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics H2H

The last time they met in the postseason was in the Eastern Conference finals of the 2020 playoffs and the Heat won the series 4-2. Both teams have met in the postseason four times before this matchup and this makes it the 5th playoff encounter.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics lineups and key players

Miami Heat projected starting lineup:

  • Point guard: Gabe Vincent
  • Shooting guard: Max Strus
  • Small forward: Jimmy Butler
  • Power forward: P.J Tucker
  • Center: Bam Adebayo

Jimmy Butler is the key player to watch out for. He has impressed this postseason with 28.7ppg and he averaged 27.5 points in the six-game series against the 76ers. He’s been big for the Heat team and he’s the leader on the floor.

Boston Celtics projected starting lineup:

  • Point guard: Marcus Smart
  • Shooting guard: Jaylen Brown
  • Small forward: Jayson Tatum
  • Power forward: Grant Williams
  • Center: Al Horford

Jayson Tatum is the key player to watch out for. He is the Celtics' best player in the playoffs carrying the team’s offense on his back with 28.3ppg in the playoffs. He averaged 27.6 points in the 7-games series against the Bucks and he has stepped up when it mattered.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics predictions and betting tips

The Heat team in the second round struggled against the 76ers on Embiid’s return, but late in the series, they were able to contain him. One cause for concern was their performance in game 3 where the 76ers restricted them to only 79 points. The Heat have averaged 107.1ppg in the postseason, just about a point less than the Celtics’ 108.5ppg. The Miami Heat have a better playoff experience with Erik Spoelstra in the driver’s seat while the Celtics are led by Ime Udoka who’s having his first postseason run as the head coach.

The Heat have been facing injury issues this postseason, if they can remain healthy in this series, they have the edge over the Celtics with the playoff experience and team depth they possess. This matchup is a huge defensive battle and the Celtics have proven themselves on the defensive ends, if they could potentially lock Jimmy Butler up, the Heat’s offense is more or less paralyzed as the role players have not been that big for the team putting the Celtics in a better position to take the win. Predictions for this game are the Boston Celtics to win and over 204 points.

Betting prediction: Boston Celtics to win

Odds: 2.05 (+105 American; 21/20 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 204 points

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

Basketball NBA . Eastern Conference Finals. Game 1
Miami Heat — Boston Celtics
Over 204 points
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